If Stéphane Dion wins the Liberal leadership tonight, would he be willing to make a deal with Elizabeth May and the Green Party?
A foresighted Liberal leader may begin to worry about strategic voting, and what the explosion of Green Party support in recent months will mean for the Liberals' chances of winning the next general election, and about maintaining power.
If the Greens are likely to find significant support in the next election, the Liberals under Dion may just be willing to make a deal to ensure that strategic voting does now hand Stephen Harper the reigns of Ottawa yet again. This may weigh heavily on the minds of the Liberals, given that the Greens do best in urban and progressive ridings - traditionally where the Liberals and NDP do best.
So here's the question - would Dion be willing to make a deal with May? Would the Liberals be willing not to run a candidate in Elizabeth May's riding and to publicly support her candidacy in that one riding, if the Greens would be willing to not run against the Liberals in a handful of "strategic" ridings (i.e. ridings in which the Liberals and Conservatives would be in close contention)?
May as an MP after the next general election would be an interesting prospect for a Liberal party gunning to either keep or gain a majority government. If the Liberals were progressive enough with their environmental legislation, they could receive the backing of both the Green Party and the NDP (and perhaps even the Bloc) - thus obliterating the Tories as regressive and isolated within the political spectrum.
On the other hand, if the Liberals' environmental policies under Stéphane "green" Dion isn't enough for the liking of the Green Party, Elizabeth May or other Green MPs could become their worst nightmare. Additionally, even if hypothetical Green MPs were to back the Liberals' environmental policies, how supportive would they be of other Grit positions of governance?
Hypothetically speaking, if both parties are willing to make a deal, it could work. And considering Dion and his supporters (including his dog named "Kyoto") have been draped in green today, you never know.
Saturday, December 02, 2006
Dion to make a deal with Elizabeth May?
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3 Comments:
I doubt Dion will wheel and deal with May in the next election. If the Greens were smart they would focus on Stephen Harper and the CPC in the West. Make it a two-horse race: Conservative vs Green. That's where they will win their first seat. I doubt with Dion's environment plan being sufficient for most moderate, centrist voters that the Greens will woo those votes to them.
The Greens should take on Harper in the West where the NDP has gone soft. Those Liberal votes coudl go to them, but in Toronto/Montreal/Vancouver and other major urban centers - Dion's liberals will hold strong.
For any deal PR voting would have to be made real for the following election, otherwise it would be pointless.
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