Dr. Paul Nesbitt-Larking, a prof from Huron University College at Western, is writing a journal article about the Green Party's recent success in the London-North-Centre (LNC) byelection. It will contain a statistical analysis of poll-by-poll results, as well as an overview of the factors contributing to the success of the Greens.
As mentioned in an article in today's London Free Press, the Green Party made gains of between 30 and 40 per cent in some LNC polls since January's general election. Overall, the Green Party won 63 of the riding's 253 polls outright, and tied for the lead in three others. The majority of polls won by the Greens were previously held by the Liberals.
From the London Free Press article:
"It couldn't be clearer. There is a massive bleeding from all the old parties and enormous growth for the Greens," said Nesbitt-Larking.
Nesbitt-Larking said he thinks all three major parties should be concerned about the rise of the Greens, none more than any other.
He said there are likely two messages political observers should take from the London byelection.
"All major parties must be aware of the importance of the environment," he said. "This is a burning issue."
And, he said, political parties must understand voters are prepared to "dramatically shift their support" if they take their politics seriously.
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